Division III playoff scenarios

I'm not going to go into the same detail as I did in Division I, but here are the playoff scenarios as I see them in Division III. Please remember these are unofficial, so they should be taken with a certain degree of skepticism:

• Otter Valley is the #1 seed with a win.
• U-32 would be the #1 seed with a win, an OV loss and an Oxbow win over Springfield.
• Mill River and U-32 would tie for the top seed if both win and Springfield beats Oxbow.
• U-32 can finish no lower than second with a win.
• Otter Valley and U-32 can fall no lower than third with a loss.
• Woodstock could climb as high as #2 with a win and losses for Mill River and U-32.
• Best case for Windsor is #3 with a win and a Mill River loss.
• Worst case for Mill River is #4.
• The winner of the Woodstock-Windsor game is assured of home field and the loser will be the fifth seed.
• The winner of the Oxbow-Springfield game will be the sixth seed. (They would tie if Springfield, Fairfax, MSJ and North Country all win but Springfield would presumably still get the higher spot on head-to-head).

• Fairfax and Springfield would tie for seventh if Fairfax wins, Springfield loses, and Poultney beats MSJ. I think that would go to a coin toss as they didn't play and each have 2-2 record vs. common opponents.
• Spaulding could finished seventh with a win over U-32 if Springfield loses, Fairfax wins and MSJ beats Poultney. That would leave Fairfax and Springfield tied for the last spot, and again, I believe that would go to a coin toss. I think this is the only way Springfield can miss the playoffs.
• Fairfax would be assured of a playoff spot with a win if Spaulding loses or Poultney beats MSJ.
• Spaulding would be assured of a playoff spot with a win and a Fairfax loss.
• Because it only played seven games, Winooski would make the playoffs with a win and a Spaulding loss.
• Poultney and MSJ have been eliminated.