Friday, October 21, 2016

D1 and D2 playoff matchups set after Friday's results

The playoff pictures in divisions I and II are pretty much set after an interesting night of football Friday. In fact, if my unofficial numbers are correct, the playoff matchups are set and it's just the seeds that still need to be determined.

There's just one game to go in the Division I ranks, St. Johnsbury's matchup with its archrival, winless Lyndon, tomorrow. That one will decide two seedings as a SJA win would be just enough to keep the Hilltoppers ahead of CVU for second, and that result would also give Rice two strength of schedule points to break its current tie with Rutland.

If Lyndon somehow pulled the upset that would give CVU second and Rutland would win the tiebreaker with Rice on win percentage, meaning the first-round playoff matchups will be the same either way:

No. 8 Colchester (4-4) at No. 1 Hartford (7-1)
No. 7/6 Rutland (4-4) at No. 2/3 St. Johnsbury (currently 5-2)
No. 7/6 Rice (3-4) at No. 2/3 CVU (6-2)
No. 5 Middlebury (5-3) at No. 4 Essex (6-2)

In Division II, Fair Haven and Bellows Falls head into their matchup in the regular-season finale tied for second. But after BF lost Burr and Burton and Fair Haven beat Burlington on Friday night, all the Week 9 showdown will decide is which of those teams will have home field in their semifinal matchup.

Despite its loss, Burlington locked up the final playoff spot when North Country lost Friday night, so the D2 semifinal matchup in two weeks will be:

No. 4 Burlington at No. 1 Burr and Burton
No. 2/3 Fair Haven vs. No. 2/3 Bellows Falls

There is still plenty to be decided in Division III, however, including which of three teams will get the last playoff spot and a trip to No. 1 seed Windsor in next week's quarterfinals. The Wasps nipped Woodstock on Friday night in a battle for the top seed. Seeds 3-8 will be set during four meaningful games tomorrow.

Anyway, here are the QPR standings after Friday's games:

Division I

(Includes all games vs. in-state opponents. Games vs. out-of-state teams, including losses for Rutland and Hartford), are ignored)

1. Hartford (7-1* overall, 7-0 D1), 112 points, 16 QPR
2. St. Johnsbury (5-2 overall, 5-2 D1), 88 points, 12.57 QPR
3. CVU (6-2 overall, 6-2 D1), 94 points, 11.75 QPR
4. Essex (6-2 overall, 6-2 D1), 88 points, 11 QPR
5. Middlebury (5-3 overall, 5-3 D1), 74 points, 9.25 QPR
6T. Rutland (4-4* overall, 4-3 D1), 50 points, 7.14 QPR
6T. Rice (3-4 overall, 3-3 D1), 50 points, 7.14 QPR
8. Colchester (4-4 overall, 4-4 D1), 50 points, 6.25 QPR
9. Brattleboro (3-5 overall, 3-5 D1), 40 points, 5 QPR
10. BFA-St. Albans (2-6 overall, 2-5 D1), 26 points, 3.25 QPR
11T. South Burlington (0-8 overall, 0-8 D1), 0 points, 0 QPR
11T. Mt. Anthony (0-8 overall, 0-8 D1), 0 points, 0 QPR

Division II

(QPR includes only Division II games. Games against teams in other Vermont divisions are only counted for tiebreaker purposes.)

1. Burr and Burton (8-0 overall, 8-0 D2), 102 points, 12.75 QPR
2T. Bellows Falls (7-1 overall, 6-1 D2), 64 points, 9.14 QPR
2T. Fair Haven (7-1 overall, 6-1 D2), 64 points, 9.14 QPR
4. Burlington (5-3 overall, 4-3 D2), 38 points, 5.43 QPR
5. Mt. Abraham (2-5 overall, 2-4 D2), 18 points, 3 QPR
6. Milton (3-5 overall, 2-5 D2), 18 points, 2.57 QPR
7. North Country (3-5 overall, 2-5 D2), 16 points, 2.29 QPR
8. Mt. Mansfield (2-5 overall, 1-5 D2), 11 points, 1.83 QPR
9. Lyndon (0-7 overall, 0-7 D2), 0 points, 0 QPR


Division III

(Includes all games vs. in-state opponents. Games vs. out-of-state teams are ignored)

1. Windsor (8-0 overall, 8-0 D3), 90 points, 11.25 QPR
2. Woodstock (7-1 overall, 7-1 D3), 73 points, 9.13 QPR
3. Otter Valley (5-2 overall, 4-2 D3), 43 points, 6.14 QPR
4T. U-32 (4-3 overall, 4-3 D3), 36 points, 5.14 QPR
4T. Mill River (4-3 overall, 4-3 D3), 36 points, 5.14 QPR
6. BFA-Fairfax (3-3 overall, 3-2 D3), 19 points, 3.17 QPR
7. Oxbow (3-4 overall, 3-3 D3), 21 points, 3 QPR
8. Poultney/MSJ (1-6 overall, 1-5 D3), 7 points, 1 QPR
9T. Spaulding (1-6 overall, 1-6 D3), 5 points, 0.71 QPR
9T. Springfield (1-6 overall, 1-5 D3), 5 points, 0.71 QPR
11. Missisquoi (0-6 overall, 0-6 D3), 0 points, 0 QPR

How do these numbers work? Teams receive 10 points for a win over a D1 opponent, 7 points for a win over a D2 opponent and 5 points for a D3 opponent. Teams also receive 2 points for every game won by the teams they have beaten. QPR is total points divided by games played.




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