Unofficial Division III playoff scenarios

As promised, here are the Division III playoff scenarios as I see them entering the last week of the Vermont High School regular season for all these teams. Remember these numbers are unofficial.

You can see the Division I scenarios here.

Woodstock (7-0, vs. Windsor)

• Claims the #1 seed with a win;
• Is the 2^nd seed with a loss.

Windsor (7-0, at Woodstock)

• Earns the top seed with a win;
• Finishes as the #2 seed with a loss.

Otter Valley (5-2, vs. Mill River)

• Clinches the 3^rd spot with a win;
• Ends up fourth with a loss if two of Fairfax, Mt. Abraham and Poultney/MSJ win;
• Can be no worse than the fifth seed.

Mill River (4-3, at Otter Valley)

• Gets the #3 seed with a victory;
• Could slip to sixth with a loss if Fairfax, Missisquoi and Springfield all win;
• Ends up fifth with a loss in any other scenario.

U-32 (4-3, no game Week 8)

• Finishes fourth if Otter Valley beats Mill River;
• Also finishes fourth if Mill River beats Otter Valley and two of Oxbow, Mt. Mansfield and Missisquoi win;
• Can be no lower than the fifth seed.

BFA-Fairfax (3-3, vs. Oxbow)

• Could finish as high as fifth with a win, plus victories for Otter Valley, Missisquoi and Springfield;
• Finishes sixth with a victory otherwise;
• Gets the seventh seed with a loss.

Oxbow (3-4, at Fairfax)

• Claims the sixth seed with a win;
• Finishes seventh with a loss.

Poultney/MSJ (1-6, vs. MVU)

• Gets the 8^th seed with a win and a Springfield victory;
• Finishes tied for 8^th with Spaulding if both teams win their finales. This scenario would presumably require a coin toss as the first four tie-breaking criteria according to the VIFL's weekly releases – QPR (1.5), head-to-head results (none), records vs. common opponents (2-4) and win percentages (.25) – would all be equal.
• Is eliminated with a loss.

Spaulding (1-6, vs. Springfield)

• Claims 8^th place with a win and a Missisquoi victory.
• Finishes tied for 8^th with Poultney/MSJ if both teams win their finales. This scenario would presumably require a coin toss as the first four tie-breaking criteria according to the VIFL's weekly releases – QPR (1.5), head-to-head results (none), records vs. common opponents (2-4) and win percentages (.25) – would all be equal.
• Misses playoff with a loss.

Springfield (1-6, at Spaulding)

• Takes the 8^th spot with a win and a Missisquoi victory.
• Is eliminated with a loss or a Poultney/MSJ win.

Missisquoi (0-6, at Poultney/MSJ)

• Has been eliminated for playoff contention.